Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 0.200398 0.225611 0.252170 0.282171 0.315062 0.349961 0.389734
2025-05-25 0.165346 0.199230 0.236881 0.281617 0.333112 0.390313 0.458434
2025-06-01 0.140411 0.179552 0.225102 0.281594 0.349315 0.427408 0.523760
2025-06-08 0.121029 0.163387 0.214781 0.280991 0.363219 0.461136 0.585622
2025-06-15 0.108687 0.154024 0.211107 0.287126 0.384458 0.503567 0.658852
2025-06-22 0.096258 0.142920 0.203777 0.287388 0.397504 0.535665 0.719943
2025-06-29 0.085779 0.133124 0.196954 0.287224 0.409230 0.565822 0.779008
2025-07-06 0.076917 0.124530 0.190768 0.287019 0.420264 0.594877 0.837069
2025-07-13 0.070360 0.118496 0.187437 0.290128 0.435409 0.629376 0.902917
2025-07-20 0.065934 0.115126 0.187466 0.297651 0.456579 0.672297 0.980977
2025-07-27 0.060624 0.109830 0.184158 0.299933 0.470172 0.705037 1.045959
2025-08-03 0.056837 0.106550 0.183518 0.305874 0.488949 0.745244 1.122048
2025-08-10 0.053774 0.104329 0.184549 0.314677 0.512733 0.793979 1.212614
2025-08-17 0.048655 0.098142 0.178873 0.312805 0.520534 0.820168 1.272232
2025-08-24 0.044321 0.092863 0.174206 0.312099 0.529846 0.848607 1.335668
2025-08-31 0.040381 0.087872 0.169590 0.311076 0.538426 0.876021 1.398172
2025-09-07 0.038146 0.085788 0.169668 0.317546 0.558718 0.921175 1.487544
2025-09-14 0.035073 0.081786 0.166114 0.317722 0.568946 0.951403 1.555556
2025-09-21 0.032230 0.077927 0.162493 0.317485 0.578343 0.980456 1.622368
2025-09-28 0.029651 0.074316 0.159024 0.317231 0.587550 1.009306 1.689408
2025-10-05 0.027785 0.071987 0.157716 0.320590 0.602700 1.047635 1.771613
2025-10-12 0.026670 0.071146 0.159117 0.328749 0.626039 1.099295 1.875324
2025-10-19 0.024949 0.068789 0.157433 0.331221 0.639794 1.136077 1.956807